2012-13 NBA Preseason Rankings

With the new NBA season starting in just six days, here’s a look at my preseason rankings for the 2012-13 season. Here’s the article covering the lower half of the NBA and here’s the article on the league’s top 15 teams.

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Spurs Win Game 1 Over Clippers

The Clippers played even with the Spurs through the first half, but San Antonio’s offensive onslaught was too much for Los Angeles in the second half and Gregg Popovich’s squad took a 1-0 series lead last night with a 108-92 victory in Game 1. Tim Duncan led the Spurs with 26 points and 10 rebounds, dismantling the Clippers interior defense, while San Antonio’s perimeter shooting gave LA no chance as they knocked down 13 3-pointers and shot over 52 percent from beyond the arc.

Eric Bledsoe had a breakout playoff performance with 23 points, five rebounds and four assists off the bench, but it wasn’t enough for the Clippers to contend after a brutal third quarter extended San Antonio’s lead to 15. Los Angeles got everything it needed out of its bench and even Blake Griffin played well considering that he was playing through an injury, but the one player whose lackluster performance really hurt was actually their superstar point guard, Chris Paul. Paul went 3-for-13 from the floor and finished with just six points and ten assists. Although Tony Parker only put up seven points and 11 assists, the Clips have no chance in this series with their best player producing such underwhelming numbers.

The Clippers’ bench came to play, but they can’t win without Chris Paul playing well.

Just as I anticipated in the Spurs-Clippers preview, the Spurs’ depth gave the Clippers a lot of problems. Although Bledsoe and Nick Young combined for 36 points off the bench and Kenyon Martin chipped in seven, Manu Ginobili’s 22-point performance was a killer. San Antonio also couldn’t miss from 3-point range as Ginobili, Daniel Green and Kawhi Leonard each nailed three shots from downtown to keep their distance from the resilient Clippers in the second half. Los Angeles was much more competitive than I thought they’d be (specifically in the first half), but then the Spurs woke up in the second and were too much to handle. Duncan absolutely destroyed the Clippers in the paint, Leonard and Green had surprisingly above-average offensive nights and Manu Ginobili played his second quality game in a row. So despite any concerns about the Spurs being rusty after sweeping the Jazz in the first round, if anything, they looked well-rested.

There’s really not much the Clippers can do if the Spurs keep up these high shooting percentages, especially from behind the 3-point line. Los Angeles has struggled with giving teams wide open looks from long range this year, which is definitely something they can’t afford to do against a team with so many efficient 3-point shooters. Chris Paul can’t afford to have such an underwhelming night from the field but he also really hurt his team with five turnovers. Other than Paul’s performance, the Clippers really did everything they needed to in order to be competitive. Unfortunately for Lob City, this series looks like it’s going to be entirely determined by the San Antonio Spurs.

Los Angeles had no answer for Tim Duncan and the Spurs’ perimeter shooters.

Second Round Preview: San Antonio Spurs Vs. Los Angeles Clippers

The Los Angeles Clippers showed great resilience and determination in their big road win against the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 7 just a few days ago, but it doesn’t get any easier for them from here. Chris Paul and the Clips now face the offensive juggernaut that is the San Antonio Spurs in the second round, and you can be guarantees they will provide a much more difficult challenge for this talented team in its first year together.

Unfortunately for fans of Lob City, the Spurs will present numerous matchup problems for LAC. Chris Paul has an advantage over Tony Parker, but San Antonio’s depth will not be easy for the Clippers to overcome. Blake Griffin would normally be a challenge for the aging Tim Duncan to handle, but it’s still unclear how healthy Griffin will be for this series. The Spurs’ biggest weakness is talented post players, but Griffin’s post play is limited to his athleticism and high-flying dunks, which will be pretty limited if he’s not 100 percent. And because Duncan will still produce on offense, Griffin doesn’t constitute enough of a challenge from the Clippers in the paint, especially considering how offensively inept DeAndre Jordan, Reggie Evans and Kenyon Martin have been at times during the postseason.

Will Blake Griffin be healthy enough to give the Clippers an advantage over Tim Duncan?

To be competitive in this series, the Clippers will need to play stellar defense and find a way to slow down this well-oiled offensive machine. That requires a strong defensive effort from the entire roster, because San Antonio’s offense doesn’t ever slow down with their starters on the bench. Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, Tony Parker and the other big names of this series have excelled in the three meetings between these two teams during the regular season (San Antonio went 2-1), so this series will come down to which role players and supporting cast outplays the other. Everyone knows Manu Ginobili is a threat, but guys like Stephen Jackson, Boris Diaw, Gary Neal, Matt Bonner, Tiago Splitter and Daniel Green can all put points on the board. The Spurs’ bench is fully capable of extending leads against opposing teams’ supporting casts with a barrage of 3-pointers and good ball movement. So if the Clippers’ bench can’t keep up or gain a clear advantage from their starting lineup, they will have rough time competing in the series.

You can never count out Chris Paul in the playoffs, but if Blake Griffin is anything less than 100 percent, the Clippers are going to struggle against the Spurs’ balance scoring and depth. Los Angeles will be able to do a better job of keeping Tony Parker from penetrating than Utah did, but he will still find a way to facilitate and with so many perimeter and post options to choose from, the Spurs are extremely difficult to guard. Los Angeles needs a constant high level of production from guys like Caron Butler, Mo Williams, Randy Foye and Nick Young, who have all had big nights in the playoffs but haven’t been able to consistently do so. The Clippers have a promising future and will hopefully receive a huge boost next year when Chauncey Billups returns to the floor, but they don’t match up well with the Spurs and will likely not be able to overcome San Antonio’s depth.

Prediction: San Antonio over Los Angeles in 5 games

Chris Paul has to keep Tony Parker out of the lane and outplay him on the offensive end.

Chris Paul And LA Bench Provide Biggest Win In Clippers’ History

Chris Paul led the way as the Clippers’ got their biggest win in franchise history with an 82-72 Game 7 victory on the road against the Memphis Grizzlies earlier today. With the win, LAC won their third playoff series in 41 years and will advance to take on the top-seeded San Antonio Spurs in the second round.

Chris Paul had 19 points and nine rebounds in Los Angeles’ impressive road win, but it was the Clippers’ bench that provided the biggest spark to win the series. Kenyon Martin had 11 points (seven in the fourth quarter) and 10 rebounds, Nick Young had 13 and Mo Williams pitched in nine. Eric Bledsoe also added in eight points as the Clippers’ bench scored half of LA’s points and outscored the Grizzlies’ bench 41-11. In fact, the bench played so well that Coach Vinny Del Negro opted to keep Blake Griffin out late in the game and leave Martin and a few other bench players in. The Clippers trailed by one after three quarters, but they opened the fourth quarter with a 16-5 run that silenced Memphis’ home crowd and sent the Grizzlies home disappointed.

Mike Conley and the Grizzlies couldn’t get the job done at home in Game 7.

Rudy Gay led the Grizzlies with 19 points and nine rebounds while Marc Gasol also had 19. Zach Randolph led Memphis with 12 rebounds but only had nine points. And Mike Conley, who had been playing pretty even with Chris Paul throughout the series, was only able to muster seven points on 2-of-13 shooting. The Grizzlies really wasted their postseason opportunities this year. Memphis was probably the better overall team because of their frontcourt advantage, but they didn’t start putting it to use until Game 5 when they faced a 3-1 deficit. They played great defense in the first few games (one of which was a monumental fourth quarter collapse) but struggled with turnovers and because of it, weren’t able to gain much of an advantage from their steals. The Grizzlies surrendered two double digit fourth quarter leads in this series that translated into wins for the Clippers. O.J. Mayo and Marreese Speights disappeared completely, pretty much decimating the Grizzlies’ bench production. And when it mattered most, Gasol and Z-Bo weren’t able to dominate in the paint like they needed to. You can’t give a guy like Chris Paul that many opportunities to capitalize, injured hip flexor or not. Credit Reggie Evans, Blake Griffin and Kenyon Martin for their physical defense, but it was a truly disappointing effort from the Grizzlies. Considering they were expected to take momentum from winning two straight into their home arena and blow out an injured CP3 and Griffin to take the series, it was a very underwhelming elimination game for Memphis.

Fortunately, the Clippers’ bench took Memphis’ mistakes and capitalized. They played stellar defense on Memphis’ bigs while the Grizzlies’ perimeter guards struggled to put up points. So even though Blake Griffin ended up with just eight points and four rebounds off of 3-for-11 shooting, the Clippers shocked the world with a huge road win to send them to the second round. The Clippers will need much better performances from their starters and the same type of effort from their bench to have even the slightest chance against the Spurs in the next round. Randy Foye will need to put up more than six points. Caron Butler will need to do better than eight. And DeAndre Jordan has to actually score. The Spurs are one of the highest-scoring teams in the NBA, so the Clippers need point production from guys other than Paul and Griffin if they want to contend.

Chris Paul and the Clippers’ bench are moving on.

Memphis Sends Series To Game 7

With a 90-88 win over the Los Angeles Clippers at Staples Center, the Memphis Grizzlies swung momentum back in their favor, forcing Game 7 as they try to become the ninth team  in NBA history to overcome a 3-1 deficit and win the series. And with Chris Paul and Blake Griffin not at 100 percent, this resurgent and dangerous Grizzlies team might just do it.

Memphis had their work cut out for them facing a playoff hole, but the Grizzlies believed they should have been up in the series. After a historic Game 1 collapse and losing a few close games in LA, the Grizzlies were right to think so. But it wasn’t until they started getting their star post players involved that Memphis was able to prove it. Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol have had back-to-back phenomenal games and with the offense operating through their post players, the Grizzlies once again look like the deadly playoff team that knocked the top seeded Spurs out in the first round last year. After blowing a few double digit leads in the series, it was the Grizzlies who owned the fourth quarter in Game 6, chipping away at an eight point deficit and eventually taking a five point lead with just under three minutes to play. Without Chris Paul making clutch shots or assists to Blake Griffin, the Clippers had little chance of coming back, even with their home crowd waiting to go wild if their team had been able to give them anything to cheer about.

Blake Griffin and Chris Paul have to give it everything they’ve got in Game 7 or Lob City will have to wait until next year.

Now the series shifts back to Memphis, with all the momentum in the Grizzlies’ favor. CP3 and Griffin aren’t at full strength. Memphis has won two games in a row. Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol have come to life and look impossible to stop. And Mike Conley is matching Lob City’s star point guard blow for blow. So even though O.J. Mayo and Marreese Speights might be done contributing for the series, the Clippers’ problems with their starting lineup look to be far more troublesome. In fact, it was Los Angeles’ bench that kept the Clippers in the game last night. Eric Bledsoe had 14 points, Kenyon Martin had 10 and Reggie Evans had six points and 10 rebounds while playing his physical brand of defense that helped give his team their 3-1 advantage. Unfortunately for the Clips, Gasol and Randolph are unstoppable right now.

Gasol led the Grizzlies with 23 points and nine rebounds while Z-Bo had 18 points and 16 rebounds. Mike Conley pitched in 13 points and nine assists while Rudy Gay chipped in 13 points of his own. And even though the Grizzlies lost the turnover battle by a large margin (Memphis had 20 comported to LAC’s seven), they also out-rebounded the Clippers by 16. Memphis has been getting the job done down low, they’re now settling for outside jump shots in the fourth quarter, and because of it, they have a great chance to win this series. It’s hard to underestimate Chris Paul in the playoffs, but if he’s not playing at full strength (and he certainly didn’t look like he was last night), Lob City’s promising first year together might come to an abrupt end Sunday morning. The Clippers have their work cut out for them to win an elimination game in front of a packed house in Memphis that knows Los Angeles is vulnerable and believes they can win. If the Grizzlies continue to operate through their talented posts and the Clippers’ two superstars aren’t at 100 percent, Memphis will easily advance.

Z-Bo and Gasol have been unstoppable in the past two games. Will they finish the Clippers off at home?