NBA Free Agency Roundup – 7/4/12

Another day, another hundred rumors and moves of NBA free agency. Here’s everything that went down today to keep you up to speed heading into Independence Day:

Deron Williams Staying With Nets:

Deron Williams came to his ultimate decision today, choosing to stay in Brooklyn over leaving for his hometown of Dallas to play for the Mavericks. Williams’ contract is a five-year, $98 million deal that will team him up with Joe Johnson for the time being. Williams coming back is great news for the Nets, but for now, he is just a piece of the puzzle that is still missing Dwight Howard.

D-Will decided to stay in Brooklyn in the hopes the Nets continue to brighten their future.

Trade Could Still Bring Dwight Howard to Brooklyn:

According to league sources, the trade for Joe Johnson didn’t quite put the Nets out of contention for Orlando superstar Dwight Howard. A possible trade that would send Brook Lopez, Kris Humphries, MarShon Brooks, and first-round picks in 2013, 2015 and 2017 to Orlando in exchange for D-12 is being discussed although nothing is set in stone. The Nets are looking for a third party to facilitate the trade, but the Magic are also looking into possible trades with the Lakers, Hawks and Rockets. The Mavericks are also in the running to get Howard, but only if he waits to explore free agency next year. If the Nets were able to swing Howard down to Brooklyn, they would be giving up a lot, but they’d be looking at a potential nucleus of Howard, Deron Williams and Johnson as well as Gerald Wallace, who signed a four-year extension for $40 million, according to league sources.

Is this still a possibility for the on-the-rise Brooklyn Nets?

Eric Gordon Wants to be a Sun:

The Suns have offered Eric Gordon a four-year deal for $58 million and after visiting Phoxenix, New Orleans’ star point guard feels that it is the place for him. The Hornets can easily match the offer as they have been saying they would if Gordon received any max offers, but Gordon’s comments about wanting to play in Phoenix might mean that New Orleans chooses to let him go. Gordon was supposed to form a solid nucleus with rookies Anthony Davis and Austin Rivers, but it remains to be seen what the Hornets’ plan of action will be.

The Hornets could match Phoenix’s offer, but will they do it now that Eric Gordon made his desire to be a Sun clear?

Jason Terry Agrees to Three-Year Deal with Celtics:

Jason Terry and the Celtics reached an agreement to a three-year deal worth $5 million annually. Although the deal certainly strengthened the bench with a wily veteran sixth man, Boston remains adamant about their desire to resign Ray Allen and Brandon Bass. The Mavericks can match Boston’s offer, but might not do so if they continue to look into point guards and the possibility of Dwight Howard next year.

Unless the Mavericks match the Celtics’ offer, the Jet will be landing in Boston.

Ray Allen to Visit Miami, LA Clippers:

Boston free agent Ray Allen will be visiting the Miami Heat this week as he continues to take his time with his options. The Celtics are committed to resigning their 3-point shooting veteran and can offer him a two-year, $12 million deal. However, the lure of winning another championship is certainly going Miami’s way after LeBron James and the Heat defeated Boston in seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals before winning the title. Allen will also visit Los Angeles this week to hear offers from the Clippers, who view him as a starter. A few other teams are also still pursuing Allen, including the Grizzlies, Mavericks, Timberwolves and Hawks.

Ray Allen is still exploring his options between Boston, Miami and Los Angeles.

Jeremy Lin to Visit Houston Rockets:

A few weeks ago, it was very likely that Jeremy Lin would be returning to the New York Knicks. Now, the breakout star point guard is heading to Houston for a visit. The Knicks are certainly looking to resign Lin, but were unsure they’d be able to match other teams’ high offers and said they planned on playing it by ear. Other teams interested in Lin include the Raptors, Nets and Mavericks, although he is seen as a backup for each of these teams.

Jeremy Lin and the Knicks want to stay together, but Lin is still checking into his options.

More Point Guard Activity:

Now that the Mavericks failed to get their hands on Deron Williams, Dallas is looking for quality point guards, turning their sights on Steve Nash and Jeremy Lin. The Mavericks still haven’t made up their minds about Goran Dragic, who is reportedly having problems working out a contract with the Rockets and visited the Phoenix Suns Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Lakers have also taken an interest in Nash, while free agent Jason Kidd has narrowed his decision down to either Dallas or the New York Knicks.

Goran Dragic and Steve Nash are still on the market as point guards for multiple teams.

Raptors Offer Landry Fields Three-Year Deal:

The Toronto Raptors have verbally agreed with Knicks’ guard Landry Fields to a three-year deal for nearly $20 million. Fields cannot sign a new contract until July 11 (when all free agents can sign new contracts), but the Knicks can still hold on to him if they match Toronto’s offer. It remains to be seen whether or not New York would spend that kind of money on a role player with Carmelo Anthony, Jeremy Lin, Amare Stoudemire, Tyson Chandler and J.R. Smith all potentially coming back, however.

The signing of Landry Fields in Toronto may be a play to get Steve Nash to join the Raptors as well.

Pacers Agree to Five-Year Deal with George Hill:

Indiana point guard George Hill signed a five-year extension to stay with the Pacers, though details of the deal were not disclosed. The Pacers will also be looking to keep Roy Hibbert, who was offered $58 million in a four-year deal with the Blazers. Indiana will have to match that offer to retain their All-Star center. However, if they don’t match, league sources say the Pacers will pursue Denver’s JaVale McGee and New Orleans’ Chris Kaman.

George Hill signed an extension with the Indiana Pacers, ruling out any possibility they had for Nash or Dragic

Nets Add Bosnian Forward Teletovic and Reggie Evans:

The Nets have verbally agreed to a three-year deal with Mirza Teletovic worth just under $16 million. Teletovic, a Bosnian forward at 6’9″, averaged 22 ppg and six rpg in the Euroleague this season. Since the Nets gave away almost their entire bench to get Joe Johnson and would have to give up even more for Dwight Howard, this signing could prove to be a very helpful addition if his game can translate decently into the NBA. The Nets also acquired the Clippers’ Reggie Evans from the Clippers in exchange for a future second-round pick. Evans was signed to a three-year, $5 million deal.

The Nets added LAC’s Reggie Evans and the Bosnian Mirza Teletovic.

Free Agency News: 7/3/12 Roundup

As is the case with free agency every year, it’s been a busy week filled with headlines for numerous stars and the smaller pieces that might go unnoticed. Here’s a quick recap of the major deals and rumors that have gone down in the past week.

Hawks Trade Joe Johnson to Brooklyn Nets:

I already covered this one earlier today, but the Hawks sent their All-Star guard and his not-so-All-Star contract to Brooklyn in exchange for the majority of the Nets’ bench and a future first round pick. Atlanta finally accepted Johnson and Josh Smith weren’t working out and the overpaid Johnson left for Brooklyn in exchange for Jordan Farmar, Anthony Morrow, Johan Petro, Jordan Williams and DeStawn Stevenson. The Hawks are looking like they’ll struggle during the 2012-13 season, but their next acquisition might help a little bit.

The Nets didn’t get the All-Star they wanted (Dwight Howard), but got Joe Johnson instead. Now they need to hope Deron Wiliams stays on.

Hawks Acquire Devin Harris from Utah Jazz Trade:

Don’t get too excited, Atlanta. You’re still going to be sorry next season, but at least the acquisition of Devin Harris from Utah will ease the incredible burden that’s been placed on Josh Smith’s shoulders. The Hawks sent Marvin Williams to the Jazz in exchange for Utah’s inconsistent point guard as Atlanta’s new GM Danny Ferry has wasted no time making his intentions clear: getting rid of the the organization’s two peskiest (and overpriced) contracts in Johnson and Williams. With so much money being cleared out, the Hawks are clearly trying to make room to make big moves, possibly for Dwight Howard or Chris Paul should he not resign with the Clippers. Whether high-caliber moves such as these happen this offseason or the next remains to be seen, but Ferry has done an excellent job with these two moves to ensure the Hawks see long term growth. Plus, Harris isn’t a shabby point guard and can certainly help a team out with 3-point shooting when his shot is on. His streaky shooting and overall inconsistent play makes him a bit of a gamble from week to week, but the Hawks need a revival and certainly got the upper hand of this trade with Utah. The move is particularly curious for the Jazz, who gain little from shopping their starting point guard for a former number two draft pick who hasn’t ever lived up to expectations.

The Hawks certainly improved by trading Marvin Williams for Utah’s Devin Harris.

Deron Williams Still Undecided:

At first, Brooklyn’s trade with Atlanta for Joe Johnson was contingent upon whether or not Williams resigned with the Nets. However, the deal went through anyway, leaving the Nets in limbo waiting for their All-Star point guard to decide between resigning or heading to his hometown of Dallas to play with Dirk Nowitzki on the Mavericks. Williams is likely to make his decision known within the next one or two days, either liberating Brooklyn from the ever-growing concern they might only be left with Joe Johnson’s ridiculous contract or turning Dallas into a much more dangerous force in the West. We’ve already been over what the Nets would look like in the backcourt with Johnson and D-Will, but if the Mavericks get their hands on Brooklyn’s star point guard, the combination of Williams and Dirk could get interesting.

Will D-Will stay with Joe Johnson in Brooklyn? Or will he join Dirk Nowitzki in Dallas?

Lamar Odom Goes To Clippers:

A few days ago, the LA Clippers and Dallas Mavericks worked out a deal that sends Lamar Odom back to his former team in exchange for Mo Williams. As part of a four-team trade, Odom will try to restart his career where it began in Los Angeles as Williams moves on to the Utah Jazz. I don’t see the move as a good one for the Clippers for the time being, but if Odom can play more like the Sixth Man of the Year that he once was, it could prove to be beneficial in the long run. The acquisition of Williams for the Jazz meant they had an extra guard, which might help explain why Devin Harris was shopped for Marvin Williams.

Lamar will get to revitalize his career where it all began in Los Angeles.

Bulls Looking for Veteran Guards:

With Derrick Rose likely missing a significant chunk of the next NBA season, it’s no surprise the Bulls are looking for veteran guards who won’t eat up too much money and can step in to take over while their star point guard recuperates. The Bulls have already reached out to Derek Fisher and Brandon Roy and while there are no solid deals to report on yet, keep your eye on this one. Fisher is also being pursued by the Thunder, Heat and Mavericks while Roy is fielding offers from several teams as well.

With Derrick Rose recovering on the sidelines, the Bulls will need to add another point guard.

Celtics Hoping to Resign Allen, Bass, Green:

Despite the popular opinion that Ray Allen will be in a Miami Heat uniform next season, Danny Ainge has said that the Celtics are making resigning Allen a priority, along with Brandon Bass and Jeff Green, who may be able to return to Boston as a free agent. While the possibility of resigning all three of these Boston regulars may be difficult, I wouldn’t doubt that they get their hands on at least two of those three. Allen has been offered deals with Miami and the Memphis Grizzlies, but would make the most money if he stayed in Boston. It will come down to whether or not he believes he can win with Miami and whether or not he’d be willing to take a pay cut to do so, but for the time being, nothing has been decided regarding Allen, Bass or Green yet.

Will Ray Allen choose the Celtics and more money over the lure of a championship in Miami?

Dwight Howard Drama Continues:

Dwight Howard came out and said there’s only one team on his list earlier this week, and although he wouldn’t say outright that it was the Nets, no one else seemed capable of being that team if not Brooklyn. Until yesterday, that is, when the Nets basically took their names out of the Howard sweepstakes with an ill-advised trade for Johnson, who will take up a considerable chunk of cap space. The Mavericks and Hawks are both clearing room for big offseason acquisitions, so Howard might want to think about adding more teams to his stubbornly short list. Howard said if he doesn’t get traded to the one team on his list, he would play the season out and then explore free agency, although the choice is not his to make if the Magic decide to shop him.

Dwight Howard continues to ruin his legacy by running his mouth about his trade demands.

Steve Nash’s Future Still Unclear:

The Toronto Raptors made Nash a 3-year offer, which Phoenix seems unwilling to do at this point. The Suns are leaning toward a 2-year deal if their All-Star point guard stays, but with the drafting of Kendall Marshall, they seem to be preparing for the worst. Nash says he is keeping his options open, which is a smart decision considering his large number of suitors, which includes the Knicks, Mavericks, Raptors and Suns. At this point it seems more and more unlikely Nash will stay in Phoenix, but to leave one non-contender for another doesn’t seem like something an aging veteran in search of his first title would do (ruling out Toronto).

Nash’s future in Phoenix seems unlikely, but no one else has put a great offer on the table yet.

Roy Hibbert Offered Deal by Portland:

The Portland Trail Blazers are looking to strengthen their frontcourt even further after offering All-Star center Roy Hibbert a four-year deal for $58 million. The Blazers went through a major upheaval last season and had a disappointing year but adding Hibbert to LaMarcus Aldridge would form a formidable team in the paint, especially with rookie Meyers Leonard likely coming off the bench. However, if Hibbert is smart (and not motivated primarily by money), he’ll stay in Indiana. After such a disappointing playoff performance with the Pacers, Hibbert definitely has something to prove to his team, a squad that can actually contend in the East if they continue to mature.

Hibbert has unfinished business in Indiana. It’d be a shame for him to leave for the weaker Blazers just for the money.

That’s all for now, but keep checking back for the latest free agency news and analysis.

Pacers Pound Miami In Game 3

The Indiana Pacers used balanced scoring and offensive depth to rout the Miami Heat at home in Game 3, taking a 2-1 lead on the series as Dwyane Wade and LeBron James struggled to carry the offensive load again. Indiana had big back-to-back quarters in the second and third (outscoring Miami 52-29 over that span) and despite a breakout performance from Mario Chalmers, the Pacers prevailed in convincing fashion at home with a 94-75 win.

The Heat were reeling after LeBron and Wade choked down the stretch in Game 2, but after Game 3 they’re in serious trouble of losing this series. George Hill led the Pacers with 20 points on 6-of-8 shooting, but the rest of Indiana’s starting lineup wasn’t far behind. Roy Hibbert finally had a terrific all-around game with 19 points, 18 rebounds and five blocks. Danny Granger also benefitted from playing in front of the Pacers’ home crowd and had 17 points and seven rebounds. David West chipped in 14 points and nine rebounds and Paul George added nine. Darren Collison only had seven off the bench, but his baskets came at a critical stretch in the fourth that kept the Pacers’ lead in double digits. The Pacers also out-rebounded the Chris Bosh-less Heat by a margin of 52-36. Nobody gave my sleeper team Indiana any credit in this series, even after Bosh went down. But it looks like the matchup problems I pointed out in my series predictions are starting to really come to life without Miami’s All-Star power forward on the court.

Danny Granger and Roy Hibbert had improved offensive nights and got the job done defensively, giving Indiana a 2-1 lead.

In the end, the outcome of this game was thoroughly predictable, especially considering how poorly Dwyane Wade shot the ball. Indiana had all the momentum heading into the night after Miami’s complete collapse in Game 2, which made the message known loud and clear: You might have two superstars, but we have balance and depth. Those two things are going to be tough for Miami to overcome if they continue to get so little out of their supporting cast. Mike Miller only had six points, yet another disappointing performance for someone so highly paid. Shane Battier and Dexter Pittman, two starters, put up goose eggs. But the worst was Wade, who was 2-for-13 from the field for only five points while also committed five turnovers. LeBron James, who had a solid first half with 16 points, finished with only 22 after an extremely quiet third quarter. LeBron hit back-to-back shots in the fourth quarter to try and rally his troops, but Indiana kept scoring to keep their double-digit advantage and Miami couldn’t put anything together as the lead extended to over 20. Mario Chalmers led the Heat with 25 points and Joel Anthony pitched in 10 off the bench, but once again, Miami’s supporting cast failed to show up. You combine that with Wade’s appalling offensive night and LeBron being virtually silent in the second half and there’s no question why Indiana turned the game into a rout.

Without Chris Bosh, this series has turned into a battle between depth and two superstars. Since one didn’t show up, Indiana’s balanced scoring completely overpowered the Heat. Home court advantage certainly didn’t hurt, as Danny Granger and Roy Hibbert came out firing and had much greater confidence on their own floor. Hill proved how deadly he can be when his shot is on and West and Paul gave solid contributions. Unless LeBron James and Dwyane Wade put on heroic performances in another tough road game in Indiana, this series could very well be over. A lot of people undervalued Bosh and downplayed his injury, saying it would just clear the way for LeBron and Wade to take over. But they seriously underestimated the impact Bosh had down low, and now that Hibbert and West are both going hard in the paint, the Heat have little chance. But the impact of Bosh’s injury doesn’t stop there. Bosh’s absence means LeBron has been moved to the power forward position to take on the task of guarding David West. It’s true that LeBron can “guard all five positions,” but that doesn’t mean he can shut down the physical West without their being drawbacks. West is physically wearing LeBron down and tiring him out, which explains his second half struggles in the past two games. Plus, LeBron switching to West means that Granger isn’t being shut down by the best defender on the court. West can overpower LeBron and Granger is starting to increase his offensive production at the same time. At this point, it would take a poor shooting night from the Pacers and transcendent games from LeBron and Wade for Miami to have any hope of tying the series in Game 4. But with Granger and Hibbert seemingly coming back to life, the Heat really have their hands full now.

Mario Chalmers had a big night, but without D-Wade it didn’t matter. Can Chalmers bring it again in Game 4?

LeBron James, Dwyane Wade And Indiana Foul Trouble Gives Miami 1-0 Lead

Even with Chris Bosh on the sidelines for the majority of the game, the Miami Heat gutted out a 95-86 Game 1 win over the Pacers thanks to elevated performances from LeBron James and Dwyane Wade and Indiana’s foul trouble. Bosh suffered a lower abdominal strain late in the second quarter and did not return, but Miami was able to capitalize with a few of the Pacers’ key players on the bench to grab a 1-0 lead on the series.

The Pacers came out swinging and opened up a 13-4 lead early on, but the Heat battled back and were down by just six at halftime. A lot of credit has to go to Mario Chalmers, because although he only had four points, he drew a huge charge on George Hill that shifted momentum in Miami’s favor. As the Heat were making a run and Hill had three fouls, the Pacers tried to get the ball past half court to call a timeout. However, Chalmers stepped in front of Hill’s path right before Indiana could call the timeout and Hill barreled right into him, sending him to the bench with four fouls in the first half. Darren Collison stepped in and finished with 10 points, but with such limited playing time, Hill was never able to fully establish a rhythm and help his team compete in Game 1. Dwayne Wade also had a big night, finishing with 29 points (13 of which came from the free throw line). I’m not a big fan of a few of Wade’s flops that earned him trips to the foul line and Frank Vogel looks like a prophet now after saying the Heat flop and that how the officials call the game would have an effect on the outcome (foul trouble hurt the Pacers), but Wade’s effectiveness was unquestionable either way you look at it.

Chris Bosh went down early, but LeBron and D-Wade carried the Heat to victory.

The most credit has to go to LeBron James, however. James won the game for his team by taking over in the fourth quarter after Danny Granger had done a decent job of limiting him in the first half. James scored half of his points in the fourth quarter and he and Wade outscored Indiana’s entire team 42-38 in the second half. He finished with 32 points, 15 rebounds, five assists, two steals, a block and just one turnover. James also did another stellar job of shutting down Granger, who is Indiana’s leading scorer. Although Granger is not a superstar or a crunch time hero, he is still the Pacers’ biggest offensive contributor, and without him putting up points, Indiana doesn’t stand a chance in this series. Granger could only muster seven points on 1-of-10 shooting with LeBron guarding him, which effectively secured the win for Miami with so many Pacers in foul trouble. Even though Chris Bosh was out, the Pacers weren’t able to exploit Miami’s disadvantage in the post because Roy Hibbert was in foul trouble early and missed a considerable amount of time in the second half. Hibbert finished with 17 points and 11 rebounds, but when he was out in the fourth quarter, Miami made their run and didn’t look back from there.

Bosh had 13 points before he was challenged on a dunk by David West, which caused his shoulder to snap back as he was at the peak of his jump. Bosh landed and immediately went to the ground before making his way to the locker room a few plays later. With Bosh out, Hibbert began to excel on offense and defense before getting into foul trouble. West was also able to capitalize on Bosh’s absence with 17 points and 12 rebounds. Unfortunately for Indiana, foul trouble to Hibbert, Hill and Paul George kept them from really being effective, and with LeBron taking Granger out of his game and shutting him down, it was impressive the Pacers were even in the game. Indiana’s bench contributed, with guys like Collison, Leandro Barbosa and Tyler Hansbrough pitching in crucial points off the bench. If Bosh is out, Indiana has to do three things to stay competitive in the series. First, they must exploit Miami’s posts with Hibbert and West. If Bosh’s MRI reveals that he will miss extended time in the series, Indiana has to pound the ball in down low, because Udonis Haslem and Joel Anthony can’t stop the Pacers’ frontcourt for an entire series. Second, they have to get better performances out of Danny Granger. Granger is averaging just 12 ppg against the Heat in five games, a testament to LeBron James’ defense. Granger scored 25 in Indiana’s one win over Miami during the regular season and he had 19 when they lost by two at the beginning of March. In the other three games, Granger put up just over five points a game. Granger has to find a way to score despite LeBron’s stifling defense. Finally, the Pacers’ bench needs to continue to contribute. Staying out of foul trouble goes without saying, but if Indiana’s role players (Collison, Barbosa and Hansbrough) can keep up this production, the Pacers will be tough to beat. I still believe the Heat will advance, but the Pacers have been my sleeper team all year and I hope I’m right when I say this team will give the Heat more problems than most people think.

David West and Roy Hibbert have an advantage down low, especially if Bosh is out for awhile.

Second Round Preview: Miami Heat Vs. Indiana Pacers

After knocking their opponents out of the first round of the 2012 NBA Playoffs in five games, the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers will meet in the second round in a matchup between the two hottest teams in the Eastern Conference. LeBron James, who was named the league MVP yesterday, is coming off a particularly dominant series against the New York Knicks, not because he outscored Carmelo Anthony, but because he was more efficient and took over games when he needed to. However, James and the rest of the Heat face a much better all-around team than the injury-depleted Knicks. In what is sure to be a competitive and physical series, the Heat are favorites to win, but don’t underestimate the Pacers.

Indiana has been my sleeper team all year, and now is their time to show whether or not they have what it takes to go toe-to-toe with the best player in the world and a defensively intimidating Miami squad. The Heat bested the Pacers three out of four times during the regular season, winning two in routs and one in overtime before losing their final meeting by 15. Indiana will have to improved their defense to have a chance, as Miami is averaging almost 102 points per contest against them. They will also have to make sure everyone comes ready to score, since they Pacers averaged just over 92 ppg against the Heat. The Pacers don’t have a designated crunch time scorer or an elite superstar, but Danny Granger absolutely has to put up points as Indiana’s best offensive weapon. How he matches up with LeBron James, Shane Battier or whoever else Miami throws at him could very well be the difference between competing and being swept. Granger had a tendency of disappearing against the Heat this season, averaging just 13 points per game, a whole eight points below his average for the season. If Granger can’t produce night in and night out, Miami will have no problem here.

This is the first key matchup: Can Danny Granger score on LeBron James? And can Granger have any hope of stopping LeBron on the other end?

There are a few other key factors that will determine who advances to the Eastern Conference Finals. The first is how effective Roy Hibbert is down low. Hibbert has a huge size and talent advantage over Miami’s post players, but against the Magic (with no Dwight Howard), Hibbert was pushed around and outplayed by the shorter, more physical Glen Davis. None of Miami’s centers are talented enough to score on Hibbert, but if they are able to push him around on defense, the Pacers will be at a huge disadvantage. The matchup between David West and Chris Bosh will also be important to watch, as West is more physical but Bosh has more skill and length. Indiana needs West to convincingly win this matchup, because if Bosh starts putting up big numbers, the Pacers will not be able to stop LeBron and Dwyane Wade and Bosh. The final deciding factor will be how Indiana’s guards perform up against D-Wade. George Hill and Darren Collison certainly have to outplay Mario Chalmers and Mike Miller, who have been seen as thorns in Miami’s side all season. If Hill and Collison consistently put up points and prevent the Heat’s guards from getting open looks from beyond the arc, the Pacers will have a chance in the series. LeBron and Wade are going to get their 20-30 points a night, but if Indiana can find a way to limit Bosh, get a few big nights out of Hibbert and have Granger lead in scoring, they will be competitive. Finally, a huge X-factor for the Pacers could be Leandro Barbosa. Believe it or not, Barbosa is Indiana’s leading scorer against the Heat this season. Okay, so maybe it was only one game, but he put up 14 points in that game, and after being practically silent for the first round, the Pacers would love to get something out of him off the bench again. Barbosa and Collison will need to score off the bench to ensure their starters get some time to rest without worrying about falling too far behind.

However, even if Indiana’s guards outplay Miami’s and even if Hibbert and West beat up on the Heat’s bigs, LeBron James and Dwyane Wade could be too much for the Pacers. George Hill and/or Danny Granger will be able to use some length to bother LeBron’s jump shot, but as soon as he starts attacking the basket, the Pacers’ defense is in trouble. Indiana is a much better overall team than the Knicks (and to be honest, the Heat weren’t truly dominant against New York) and they’ll give Miami a battle, but I don’t have enough confidence in Indiana to pick them over LeBron and the Heat.

Prediction: Miami over Indiana in 6 games

If Roy Hibbert can’t take advantage of his size and skill set, the Pacers are in trouble.

Roy Hibbert Wakes Up

I’ve been pretty hard on Roy Hibbert so far in the Pacers-Magic series because of his inability to dominate Glen Davis and the Orlando frontcourt despite having a five-inch advantage on his opposition. But Hibbert finally came to life in Game 3 and the Pacers cruised to a 97-74 victory on the road. Coincidence? I think not.

After a shocking and all-around ugly loss at home in their playoff opener, Indiana desperately needed to regroup for Game 2. Danny Granger disappeared when his team needed his leadership the most and shot the ball poorly. Hibbert got a huge number of blocks and rebounded well, but he was still outplayed by Glen Davis. And to top it all off, the Pacers bench was nowhere to be found. But in Game 2, they played a much more cohesive and focused game to tie the series up before heading to Orlando. But before Game 3, the one piece of the puzzle that was still missing that prevented this series from being a massacre was Roy Hibbert. And after his 18-point, 10-rebound Game 3 performance, it’s safe to say the Pacers could finally be back on track.

Roy Hibbert may have finally shown up for the playoffs.

Danny Granger is the alpha dog for this team and Glen Davis is still finding ways to score, but as long as Hibbert continues to rebound and put points on the scoreboard consistently, he should be able to at least balance Davis out. There’s no reason for Glen Davis to have outplayed Hibbert offensively in this series so far, but as long as Hibbert handles the defensive end by rebounding, contesting shots and possibly limiting Davis’ scoring, he’ll have done his job to help Indiana advance past this weaker Orlando team. Paul George and George Hill have been playing better and are consistently scoring, Danny Granger will continue to rack up points as long as he keeps shooting and even Darren Collison reached double figures in Game 3. So as long as Roy Hibbert holds up his end of the bargain by showing up every night (which really isn’t too much to ask considering the size advantage he has on Orlando’s back line), the Pacers should win this series in five games, six at the most.

On the Orlando side of things, Roy Hibbert’s Game 3 performance is pretty much a playoff death sentence. The Magic’s perimeter shooters (Jason Richardson and Hedo Turkoglu) haven’t been able to get anything going since Game 1, Ryan Anderson has tremendously struggled shooting the ball and Jameer Nelson is scoring, but not consistently enough to be a real threat. J.J. Reddick has done well off the bench, but considering their starters’ inability to score outside of Glen Davis, this Magic team that had so much to play for in Game 1 is in serious trouble, even with Game 4 in Orlando tomorrow. Danny Granger will get his 20+ points per game, Paul George and George Hill are on the uprise and David West is a threat to have a good scoring night every game, which is why the Pacers have taken a 2-1 lead on the series. But if Roy Hibbert can lend his offensive talent to his defensive work so far, there is no possible way for Orlando to win this series.

Ryan Anderson has had a rough series so far. The Magic might be done at this point.

Van Gundy Works His Magic

Derrick Rose’s ACL tear and Miami’s blowout on the Knicks were big headlines today, but the Indiana Pacers losing Game 1 at home to the Howard-less Magic should make its own major headlines. I predicted the Pacers would sweep, but Stan Van Gundy and the Magic had other plans. After listening to how guaranteed Indiana’s victory was over the past few days, it’s no surprise Orlando came out fired up. They’ve had a tumultuous season dealing with Dwight Howard’s melodrama and the disunity between him and their coach, but with Howard out, this team has galvanized and now play for each other. Which is probably a big reason why they rallied from a seven-point deficit in the fourth quarter to win 81-77.

But the biggest reason the Magic won is that the Pacers looked like they took this game, and possibly even the whole series, for granted. Indiana was outscored 11-0 in the game’s final minutes and they blew their lead and the game. Nobody could hit a shot, the offense went stagnant and they left shooters like Jason Richardson wide open. But worst of all was Danny Granger completely falling apart. I picked Granger as a top player to watch in the playoffs this year as he became the driving force behind a hot Pacers squad. But when his team needed him most, he not only disappeared, he actually made them worse. He couldn’t get shots close to the rim to go, he missed two critical free throws, he had two terrible turnovers at the worst possible times (a backcourt violation and a travel with the game on the line) and none of this would have been completely terrible if he didn’t look completely timid and indecisive the whole time. Granger turned into a deer in the headlights during the entire fourth quarter, especially when Orlando started to make its run.

Glen Davis outplayed Roy Hibbert as the Magic shocked the Pacers at home.

The Pacers need Granger to score more than 17 points a game, especially when Leandro Barbosa and Roy Hibbert score a combined 11 points. Hibbert has a ridiculous size advantage on Glen Davis and Ryan Anderson, so scoring 8 points is absolutely pathetic, especially when you throw in the fact that Davis pushed him around all game and the Pacers barely won the rebound battle, 35-34. Hibbert absolutely needs to regroup and come out with a vengeance in Game 2, regardless of his 9 blocks. In fact, David West is the only player on the Pacers who looked okay, but he disappeared down the stretch too. Paul George missed critical wide open 3-pointers down the stretch and George Hill didn’t have much of an impact after looking so impressive when he was moved into the starting lineup. But even with everyone else disappearing, the majority of the blame should still be placed on Danny Granger for this awful performance. Until Granger learns how to take control and be a crunch-time player in close games, the Pacers will never be the dark horse in the East they could be.

Granted, the Magic did have to play exceptionally well to get the win. Jason Richardson hit five 3-pointers, which doesn’t happen every day. The entire Pacers team had to completely collapse and miss all of their shots over the last few minutes for Orlando to have a chance to come back. And while Orlando’s heart in playing for each other and for their coach to defy everyone’s expectations is inspiring, I can’t say with certainty that this team can play at this level over the course of a seven-game series. The Pacers shot 34.5 percent from the floor and finished with 77 points. The Magic only scored 81 points. This was Indiana’s game to lose and they lost it in extremely underwhelming fashion. But I don’t think any of these things will happen again. So even though my prediction that the Pacers would sweep looks pretty bad right now, I’m still picking Indiana to win the series in 5 or 6 games. But they’re definitely on upset alert right now.

If this shot was in the 4th quarter, Granger probably missed it. Indiana can't afford for him to disappear.